Below please find a DRAFT version of the conference programme

All panel sessions will take place in the Chrystal Macmillan Building, 15A George Square, University of Edinburgh


Summary of conference programme (Full panel details are below)

Friday 12th September 2014

12.00-12.45 Registration and lunch (CMB Foyer)

12.45-14.15 Session 1 (CMB seminar rooms)

14.15-14.30 Short break

14.30-16.00 Session 2 (CMB seminar rooms)

16.00-16.30 Tea/coffee

19.00 Reception (Raeburn Room, Old College).

20.00 Dinner (Playfair Library, Old College)

Saturday 13th September 2014

9.30-11.00 Session 3 (CMB seminar rooms)

11.00-11.30 Tea/coffee

11.30-13.00 Session 4 (CMB seminar rooms)

13.00-14.00 Lunch (CMB Foyer)

13.30-14.00 EPOP Annual General Meeting (Teviot Lecture Theatre)

14.00-15.30 Session 5 (CMB seminar rooms)

                     BES Advisory Board meeting (Teviot Lecture Theatre)

15.30-16.00 Tea/Coffee

16.00-17.30 Session 6 (CMB seminar rooms)

17.30-18.00 British Election Study team report (Teviot Lecture Theatre)

19.00 Reception (The Hub, Royal Mile)

20.00 Dinner (The Hub, Royal Mile)

Sunday 14th September 2014

9.30-11.00 Session 7 (CMB seminar rooms)

11.00-11.30 Tea/coffee

11.30-13.00 Session 8 (CMB seminar rooms)

13.00 Lunch (CMB Foyer)

Full conference programme


Session 1 Friday 12.45-14.15

1.1  Environmental politics

Chair: Alistair Clark (Newcastle)

Règis Dandoy (FLASCO) “A stable electoral performance over time and across policy levels? The example of the Green party of Wallonia”

Stephen Fisher (Oxford) “Trends in Environmental Attitudes in Britain”

Conor Little (Keele), Neil Carter and Robert Ladrech “Political parties’ climate policies in the UK, Italy and Denmark”



1.2 Party and Voter Behaviour in Scotland and Quebec

Chair: Harold Clarke (UT Dallas)

Éric Bélanger (McGill) “Party Behaviour in Quebec: Peaceful Co-Existence of Nationalist Competitors?”

Eve Hepburn (Edinburgh) “Party Behaviour in Scotland: The SNP versus the Rest?”

Richard Nadeau (Montreal) “Voter Behaviour in Quebec: To Leave Secession Behind or Not?”

Ailsa Henderson (Edinburgh) “Voter Behaviour in Scotland: Supporting Secession or the Party?”


1.3 Knowledge and voter accuracy

Chair: Rob Johns (Essex)

Rosie Campbell (Birkbeck) and Philip Cowley (Nottingham) “The name game: is recall of MP’s names a useful measure of political knowledge?”

Ruth Dassonneville (KU Leuven) and Marc Hooghe “The quality of Recall Questions: How individual-level characteristics affect the accuracy of recalled vote choice

Daniel Stevens (Exeter), Barbara Allen and Jeffrey Berg "(Mis) information and the Electorate: how political ads’ claims influence political knowledge and turnout”

Patrick Fournier (Montreal) and Blake Andrew “Information effects, media systems and election outcomes”


Session 2 Friday 14.30-16.00

2.1 Democratic Satisfaction

Chair: Robert Liñeira (Edinburgh)

Sarah Cameron (ANU) “Public Support for democracy in Times of Economic Crisis: A Comparison of Old and New Democracies”

Marcel van Egmond (Amsterdam), Robert Johns (Essex) and Heinz Brandenburg (Strathclyde) “A fair share of the representational pie? How distance and disproportionality affect satisfaction with democracy in Europe”

Stefanie Reher (Oxford)“Satisfaction with democracy in Europe: Investigating the Validity of an Importance-Evaluation Model”

Todd Donovan (Western Washington) and Shaun Bowler (UC Riverside) “Elections, campaign finance and cynicism about politics”


2.2 Immigration, diversity and UKIP

Chair: Roger Scully (Cardiff)

Lauren McLaren (Glasgow), Hajo Boomgaarden and Rens Vliegenthart “News Coverage and Public Concern about Immigration in Britain”

Dominic Wring (Loughborough) and David Deacon “UKIP and the British Press: Integration, immigration and Integrity”

Matthew Goodwin (Nottingham) and David Cutts “Investigating the Predictors of Anti-Muslim Prejudice in Britain”

Gareth Harris and Eric Kaufmann (Birkbeck) “Ethno-Contextual Drivers of UKIP and BNP Support in England and Wales, 2008-2013



Internal party organisation

Chair: Jane Green (Manchester)

Alan Convery (Edinburgh) and Thomas Lundberg “Spanish Statecraft? Applying Bulpitt’s Theory of Territorial management to Spain”

Ann Kristin Kolln (Gothenburg) “Adaptation and institutionalisation of party organisations in Western Europe, 1960-2010”

Einion Dafydd (Cardiff) “MEPs as agents of party principals? Examining the ‘party control thesis’

Zachary Greene (Mannheim) “The Electoral Significance of Divided Behaviour: Exploring the Partisan Roots of Voter Perceptions”


2.4 Political candidates and recruitment

Chair: Donley Studlar (Strathclyde)

Jennifer van Heerde-Hudson (UCL), Rosie Campbell (Birkbeck) and Chyrsa Lamprinakou (UCL) “A New Political Class? The socio-demographic profile of parliamentary candidates, 1979-2010”

Peter Allen (Bath) and David Cutts “How do the public explain the low numbers of women in politics? Testing competing explanations across 27 European countries”



Session 3 Saturday 9.30-11.00

3.1 Electoral mechanics I

Chair: Ibrahim Sani (Edinburgh)

Keith Archer “Removing Barriers to Voter Participation: The Role of Election Management Bodies in Citizen Engagement”

Maria Sobolewska “Registration: an ugly sister of turnout? Voter under-registration in the UK and its impact on the results of the last German election”

Phil Thompson and Davide Tiberti “Patterns of electoral registration”

Max Goplerud (Oxford) “Money or Signatures? An Experimental Test of Ballot Access Restrictions”

Règis Dandoy (FLASCO) “The Gender effects of electronic voting in Ecuador”


3.2 Attitudes to international affairs

Chair: Stephen Fisher (Oxford)

Robert Johns (Essex) and Morten Munch Jespersen “Well, now that we’re in there’ Gender, risk orientations and support for war”

Josie Knowles (Queen's Belfast) and John Garry “Understanding Citizens’ Support for Regional Integration”



3.3 Attitudes to the EU

Chair: Michael Marsh (Trinity College Dublin)

Florian Foos (Zurich) and Elias Dinas “Breaking Bad: Breaching the Maastricht Criteria and EU Approval”

Troy Cruickshank (ANU) “Economic Abstention: Has the recession harmed democracy in Europe”

Monica Poletti (LSE/Milan), Ioannis Andreadis, Eftichia Teperoglou and Cristiano Vezzoni “Economic crisis and attitudes towards the European Union: are Italians and Greeks becoming Eurosceptic because of the crisis?”

Laura Sudulich (UL Bruxelles) “The impact of multiple media on public opinion towards the European Union


3.4 Retrospective voting and the Economy

Chair: Chris Carman (Glasgow)

Thomas Holbrook “Retrospective Politics in US Cities”

Oliver Heath (Royal Holloway), Patten Smith, Nicholas Gilby and Finn Hoolaha “Addressing the endogeneity bias in subjective evaluations of the economy: evidence from a survey experiment”

Aurelian Giugal (SE Europe Lumina)“Clientelistic Practices: Romanian National Liberal Party and its Post-Communist uptrend”


Session 4 Saturday 11.30-13.00

4.1 Trust in governments

Chair: Jennifer VanHeerde-Hudson (UCL)

Thomas Brunell, Shaun Bowler (UC Riverside), Jeffrey Karp, Stephen Nicholson, Jack Vowles, Todd Donovan (Western Washington), and Dan Stevens (Exeter) “Democratic Renewal: The positive impact of elections on attitudes towards government”

Heinz Brandenburg (Strathclyde) and Robert Thomson “What citizens think about whether governing parties fulfil election pledges”

Jane Green (Manchester) and Will Jennings “Explaining the Costs of Governing: How voters evaluate governing party competence over time”

Ann Kirstin Kolln (Gothenburg), Peter Esaiasson and Sedef Turper “External Efficacy and Perceived Responsiveness: Same or different”


4.2 Modelling Voting

Chair: Philip Cowley (Nottingham)

Paul Whiteley (Essex), Harold Clarke (UT Dallas), David Sanders and Marianne Stewart “‘Hunting the Snark’: How we should study electoral choice in the 21st century”

David Cutts and Ed Fieldhouse (Manchester) “A Social Dynamic Model of Voting”

Florian Rabuza (Duisburg-Essen) “Institutional Complexity and Political Inequality: a multi-level approach”

Thomas Loughran (Manchester) “A values based electorate? How does electoral context influence the relationship between political values and voting in established European Democracies?”


4.3 Tactical voting

Chair: Arjan Schakel (Maastricht)

Martin Elff (Konstanz) “Strategic Voting and Ticket Splitting in Mixed Electoral Systems: A finite-mixture approach applied to the case of Germany”

Martin Elff (Konstanz) “Separating tactical from non-tactical voting: A finite-mixture discrete-choice modelling approach”

Tom Verthe (VU Brussel) and Stefanie Beyens “Strategic and coalition voting in a proportional multi-party context: the 2014 Belgian federal and regional elections”


4.4 Party systems and strategies

Chair: Rosie Campbell (Birkbeck)

Ilke Toygur and Ali Carkoglu (Koc) “Turkey within Europe: A comparative analysis of European and Turkish party systems”

Ioannis Tsirmpas (Athens) and Iannis Konstantinidis “The Evolution of Mainstream Political Discourse in Greece, 1974-2009: A retrospective evaluation quasi-experimen

Daniel Bischof (Leicester) “Cheap talk or keeping/making promises? Parties verbal statements between elections”

Helena Pillmoor (Lancaster) "Campaigning on Twitter: Analysis of the role of Twitter in the referendum on Scottish Independence"


Lunch 13.00-14.00

EPOP Annual General Meeting 13.30-14.00

Session 5 Saturday 14.00-15.30

5.1 Representation I

Chair: Justin Fisher (Brunel)

Nick Vivyan (Durham), Chris Hanretty and Benjamin E. Lauderdale “Dyadic Representation in a Westminster System”

Robert Huckfeldt (UC Davis) and Erik Engstrom “Parties, Issue Networks and the Potential for Political Change”

David Rossiter, Ron Johnston (Bristol) and Charles Pattie (Sheffield) “Equality, community and continuity: would modifying the rules improve the next review of UK Parliamentary constituencies?”


5.2 Regional democracy

Chair: Ailsa Henderson (Edinburgh)

Roger Scully (Cardiff) “Public Attitudes to Regional Autonomy: the Relationship between Preferences and Perceptions

Mark Shephard (Strathclyde), Stephen Quinlan, Stephen Tagg and Lindsay Paterson "Twittish Tweets: Twitter's Ability to be Deliverative"

Arjan Schakel (Maastricht) and Emanuele Massetti “Issue Linkage and Issue Salience across Ideological Dimensions of Regionalist Parties in Western Democracies”


5.3 Party activists and candidates

Chair: Alan Convery (Edinburgh)

Peter Allen (Bath) and Sarah Childs “The Grit in the Oyster: the UK Labour Party’s Women’s Committee as a feminized and feminist legislative institution”

Rosie Campbell (Birkbeck) and Oliver Heath “Do Women vote for Women Candidates? Candidate sex and voting behaviour in the 2010 British elections

Robin Pettitt (Kingston) “The Stagnation of Women’s representation in Denmark: prospects for improvements”


5.4 Direct and Deliberative Democracy

Chair: Ugur Ozdemir (Edinburgh)

D. Roderick Kiewiet (Caltech) and Jocelyn Kishi “Voting in California Parcel Tax Elections”

Marie-Catherine Wavreille and Elwin Reimink “Parties in popular initiatives: involuntary subjects or skilful puppeteers?”



Session 6 Saturday 16.00-17.30

6.1  Representation II

Chair: Charles Pattie (Sheffield)

Luca Bernardi (Leicester) “Electoral Incentives and Rhetorical Responsiveness”

Yves Dejaeghere (Antwerp) and Stefaan Walgrave “Power and Information: A study of the relationship between political power and information processing of individual political elites in Canada, Israel and Belgium using interview data”

Sarah Birch, Philip Habel (Glasgow) and Glenn Gottfried “Representative Responsiveness to Constituents: Evidence from Britain”

Elwin Reimink, Marie-Helene Schrobiltgen (ULB) and Jean-Benoit Pilet “Motives behind political representation: a field experiment”


6.2 Predicting Election Results

Chair: Joe Twyman (YouGov)

Michael Marsh (Trinity College Dublin), Simon Hix and Kevin Cunningham “Predicting European election results: poll and the second order model”

Matthew Wall (Swansea), Rory Costello and Stephen Lindsay “Lagging or Leading? Do online betting markets lead or follow opinion polls?”

Jose M. Pavia (Valencia) and Elena Garcia-Guereta (Complutense Madrid)  “Exploring the causes of nonresponse bias in Spanish exit polls”

Graziella Castro “Polling voter behaviour: the extent of the house effect”


6.3 Attitudes to immigration and diversity

Chair: Eve Hepburn (Edinburgh)

Maria Sobolewska “The myth of integration: public opinion of immigrant integration and its policy consequences”

Markus Wagner (Vienna) and Konstantin Glinitzer “Factual beliefs about immigration levels: how political attitudes explain inaccurate interpretations”

Eric Kaufmann (Birkbeck) and Gareth Harris “‘White Flight’ or Positive Contact?: Local Diversity and Attitudes to Immigration in Britain, 2009-11”


6.4 Multi-level voting

Chair: Ailsa Henderson (Edinburgh)

Joris Boonen (KU Leuven) and Marc Hooghe “The effect of political sophistication on issue-vote congruence in Europe: A tow-dimensional comparative analysis”

Arjan Schakel (Maastricht) “Territoriality of the vote in the European multilevel electoral system”

Shaun Bevan (Mannheim/Edinburgh), Will Jennings and Christopher Wlezien (UT Austin) “Whose Problem is It? Understanding the relationship between the Public’s EU, national and personal issue priorities”

Robert Lineira (Edinburgh), Jordi Munoz and Guillem Rico "If catalanist, then leftist? Voters' Inference of Candidates' Ideological Orientations across Issue Dimensions"



Session 7 Sunday 9.30-11.00

7.1 To Vote or Not To Vote?

Chair: Charlotte Snelling (Edinburgh)

Achim Goerres and Florian Rabuza (Duisburg-Essen) “The Private Costs of Voting: an Experimental Conjoint Analysis among a most-likely –to-vote population”

Florian Foos (Zurich) and Eline de Rooij “Household Partisan Composition and Voter Turnout: Investigating Experimental Spillover Effects between Cohabitants

Carolina Plescia (Vienna) and Kathrin Thomas “Where do late deciders stand? The impact of ideology on late deciders’ vote choice”

Alistair McMillan (Sheffield) “The perils of positive abstention: None of the above and ‘Against all’ ballot options in theoretical and comparative perspective’



7.2 Referendums

Chair: Mark Shephard (Strathclyde)

Michael Marsh (Trinity College Dublin) and Kevin Cunningham “Can opinion polls predict referendum outcomes: the evidence of referendums in Ireland since 1983”

Robert Johns (Essex) “Unpersuaded or unpersuadable? Experimental evidence on ‘leaners’ and ‘undecided’ in the Scottish Independence referendum”

Heinz Brandenburg (Strathclyde) and Fraser McMillan (Strathclyde)“Analysing media impact in the Scottish Independence Referendum campaign”


7.3 European Voting

Chair: Régis Dandoy (FLASCO)

Ruth Dassonneville (KU Leuven) and Marc Hooghe “Protest Voters Adrift? The Impact of Political Trust on Voting Behaviour in Belgium”

Fernanda Flacco (UL Bruxelles) “Leader’s effect on partisanship attachment: the case of the Central and Eastern Europe”

Luana Russo (Maastricht) “Is Italy beyond left and right? The success of Beppe Grillo and processes of dealignment in the 2013 national elections”


7.4 Competition in Party space

Chair: Shaun Bevan (Mannheim)

Thomas M. Meyer (Vienna) and Markus Wagner “How parties move: shifting emphasis or positions?”

Guido Tiemann (IAS Vienna) “Room to Maoeuvre? Party competition in the European Political Space

Berta Barbet Porta (Leicester) “The use of heresthetics on the electoral contexts: do parties change the dimensionality of their offer for strategic reasons?”


Session 8 Sunday 11.30-13.00

8.1 Scottish Parties and Elections

Chair: David Denver (Lancaster)

Robin Engstrom (Linnaeus) “The Role of National References in the SNP Independence Campaign: A Cognitive linguistic Approach”

Kristi Winters (GESIS) and Edzia Carvalho (Dundee) “You should do everything you can to get one more Scottish voice in there: analysis of Scottish and Welsh focus group participants in the 2010 British general election”

Craig McAngus (Stirling) , Neil McGarvey and Arno Van Der Zwet “Advocates of Scotland’s settled will? Labour elites, party affiliates and the constitutional question in Scotland”

James Gilmour (Electoral Reform Society Scotland) “Factors affecting alphabetical voting in the Scottish Local Government Elections in 2012”


8.2 Spatial voting

Chair: Alan Convery (Edinburgh)

Guido Tiemann (IAS Vienna) “Projection Bias in Spatial Voting Models: A simulation study

Christopher Prosser (Oxford) “Party signals, information processing and voter perceptions of party positions”

Debra Leiter (Missouri Kansas City) “The Reciprocal Relationship Between Character-Based Valence and Issue Position”


8.3 Socialisation and civic engagement

Chair: Eve Hepburn (Edinburgh)

Joris Boonen (KU Leuven) “From rightist freshman to leftist senior? Comparing university faculties in their role as political socialization agents”

Hilde Coffee and Rosie Campbell (Birkbeck) “Generational differences in definitions of political activities”

Joe Greenwood (Essex) “Being a Good Egg: Survey evidence on the impact of privilege and perception of privilege on political participation in the United Kingdom”

Willy Jou  and Masahisa Endo “Examining Generational and Educational Effects on Ideological Voting in Japan: A longitudinal analysis”

Charlotte Snelling (Edinburgh) "Young people and electoral registration in the UK: An assessment of local activities to maximise youth registration"


8.4 Democratic Quality

Chair: Keith Archer

Jeffrey Karp and Shaun Bowler (UC Riverside) “Who Should Vote? Explaining Support for Compulsory Voting”

Alistair Clark (Newcastle) “Identifying the Determinants of Electoral Integrity in Advanced Democracies: The case of Britain”

Ibrahim Sani (Edinburgh)  “Electoral Integrity: How Institutional Independence of Electoral Commission Conditions Electoral Quality”

Dani Marinova (Hertie School) “Does electoral accountability make a difference”

Miguel Angel Lara Otaola (Sussex) “Election Results: When, where and under what conditions are they accepted?”


Lunch 13.00-14.00








Unless explicitly stated otherwise, all material is copyright © The University of Edinburgh 2013. Cookies.